College Football Technician's Corner

Event

Tech-Edge

SMU @
Texas State

09-05-20
SMU broke 7-game SU losing streak vs. Metroplex rival last season. TCU only 5-15-1 as home chalk since 2016, and note Mustangs have covered last five vs. non-AAC FBS opposition in reg.-season games. Note SMU also 10-3 “over” in 2019. Tech edge-SMU and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
UAB @
Miami Florida

09-10-20
UAB continued its overachieving bent last season, posting another positive spread mark for HC Clark, who is now 26-14-1 vs. the line since the Blazers resurrected in 2017. Note the Canes have been a consistent money-burner the past three years, not recording a winning spread mark since 2016, and dropped 7 of 10 as chalk a year ago. Tech edge-UAB, based on team trends.
Syracuse @
North Carolina

09-12-20
Cuse only covered 2 of 8 in ACC last season as it also dropped 8 of last 11 overall vs. spread. After 9-3 dog mark in 2017-18, Orange just 2-6 as short in 2019. UNC on positive 8-5-1 spread run since late 2018. Tech edge-slight to North Carolina, based on team trends.
Georgia Tech @
Florida State

09-12-20
Norvell debut at FSU. Bumpy ride for GT in 2019 during Collins debut, Jackets only 3-8-1 vs. line, and now just 3-11-1 vs. number dating to late 2018. Collins, however, a bit better on road at 2-2-1 vs. spread last season. FSU a consistent money burner in recent years, 13-23-2 vs. line since 2017, and just 1-7 last 8 vs. points against non- ACC foes. Note Norvell teams at Memphis just 2-5 their last seven as home chalk. Tech edge-slight to Georgia Tech, based on extended FSU negatives.
Coastal Carolina @
Kansas

09-12-20
Coastal scored a 12-7 stunner at Lawrence last September, one of five covers in six tries as a visitor in 2019 season for the Chants. Rare chalk role for Jayhawks, 0-2 laying points in the Les Miles debut season a year ago, and just 4-11 laying points since 2012 under a number of different coaches. Tech edge-Coastal, based on team trends.
Clemson @
Wake Forest

09-12-20
Dabo has won big vs. Wake the past two seasons by a combined 115-6 score after failing to cover previous four vs. Deacs. Clemson is 16-4-1 as chalk away from Death Valley since 2017 and is 19-5-1 vs. spread overall since midway in 2018 season. Wake 12-4 as double-digit dog for Clawson since 2016, though as noted was routed by Tigers past two seasons. Tech edge-Clemson, based on recent trends.
Duke @
Notre Dame

09-12-20
Cutcliffe was only 2-4-1 as dog with Duke in 2019, including 38-7 home loss to ND, but was 25-12-1 in role the preceding six seasons (2013 thru 2018). Blue Devils had also covered seven straight openers for Cutcliffe prior to 2019 loss vs. Bama. Irish covered 5 of 7 as home chalk last season after recording just a 7-10 spread mark in role previous three terms. Duke also “over” 10-4 last 14 dating to late 2018. Tech edge-Duke and “over,” based on extended team and “totals” trends.
UL Monroe @
Army

09-12-20
Into Sept. 5 opener vs. MTSU, Army only 3-7 last 10 vs. line at West Point, and just 9-15 as Michie Stadium chalk since 2015. ULM just 4-10 last 14 on board since late 2018. Warhawks also 4-10 “under” since late 2018. Tech edge- slight to ULM and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
UL Lafayette @
Iowa State

09-12-20
Ragin’ Cajuns on 7-2-1 surge as an underdog since early 2018, and enter 2020 with 16-7-2 vs. spread mark last 25 on board. Note ISU dropped its last four as Ames chalk last season and has failed to cover in three of last four openers. Cyclones just 3-8 as home chalk since 2018. Tech edge-Louisiana, based on team trends.
UTEP @
Texas

09-12-20
While Tom Herman teams have been formidable as an underdog, they have underachieved as home chalk, just 5-10 in role with Texas since 2017, and only 8-18-1 in role since 2015 with Houston. But Herman Longhorns teams are 8-3 vs. line last 11 against non-Big 12 foes. UTEP enters 2020 on 10-26 spread skid since 2017, and just 3-12 vs. points overall since late in 2018, and 2-10 last 12 vs. spread outside of C-USA. Tech edge-slight to Texas, based on UTEP negatives.
Louisiana Tech @
Baylor

09-12-20
Skip Holtz teams at Tech are 19-8-1 as an underdog since he arrived at Ruston in 2014. Bulldogs also 13-7-1 vs. line their last 21 away from Joe Aillet Stadium. Baylor surprisingly just 2-8 as Waco chalk since 2017 and has only covered 1 of last 6 hosting non-Big 12 foes. Tech edge-La Tech, based on team trends.
Tex San Antonio @
Texas State

09-12-20
Traylor debut at UTSA. TSU just 3-8-1 vs. spread in 2019 for Spavital debut and no covers in four tries as host vs. FBS opposition. Bobcats also on 11-4 “under” stretch dating to late 2018. UTSA did cover its last four on the road a year ago and 9-5 vs. spread last 14 on board. Tech edge-slight to UTSA and “under” based on team and “totals” trends.
Tulsa @
Oklahoma State

09-12-20
Teams have not met regularly in recent years, but OSU scored 59 or more in winning and covering three meetings between 2010-17, and also covered last year’s battle at Tulsa when scoring 40. Golden Hurricane 5-1 vs. spread away in 2019 and 3-1 as road dog, the latter more reminiscent of Montgomery’s first couple of years with Tulsa when 6-1 as visiting dog in 2015-16. OSU, however, on 13-4 spread uptick since late 2018, and Gundy has remarkably covered last 14 non-Big 12 games dating to 2016! Tech edge-Ok State, based on team and extended series trends.
Arkansas St @
Kansas State

09-12-20
KSU on 11-4 spread uptick since late 2018 (9-4 vs. line in 2019 Klieman debut), and was “under” 9-3-1 last season. Red Wolves only 3-10 vs. line last 13 outside of Sun Belt. Tech edge-slight to K-State, based on team trends.
Tulane @
South Alabama

09-12-20
USA now on 5-1 spread ascent (all as dog) since late 2019 after opening upset win at USM, and 5-2 vs. number last 7 at Mobile . Tulane, however, on 10-4 spread surge since late 2018, and Wave has covered all four openers since Fritz arrived in 2016. Tech edge-slight to Tulane, based on team trends.

COPYRIGHT 2020 © THE GOLD SHEET. ALL RIGHT RESERVED.