NEW TGS HOOPS...LATEST "BRACKETOLOGY" UPDATE!
by Bruce Marshall, Goldsheet.com Editor
Selection Sunday is now looming, and we continue to keep an eye on our Big Dance projections at TGS. This week, we offer out final full “Bracketology” report of the season, but remind that from this point forward, things are going to start happening fast as the earliest of the conference tourneys will conclude by this weekend, and the bubble begins to squeeze a bit tighter as we move forward. Thus, by Wednesday of next week, we’ll start daily bracket updates on our website, leading all of the way to Selection Sunday.
Remember, for all of our “bracketology” updates, the term “protected seed” refers to seeds 1 thru 4 in each region, and likely favorable geographic placement in the sub-regional round.
As usual, we break down the projected matchups by each region. The Dayton “First Four” games will be played March 17-18; sub-regional action commences on March 19, with the Final Four April 6-8 in Atlanta. Straight-up records thru March 4. Next week’s TGS issue will include results of recent NCAA Tournaments as well as a look at past records of the low-major conferences in first-round action. Our big blowout TGS tourney edition will be ready late Monday night, March 16!
EAST REGIONAL (New York City-Madison Square Garden)
1 San Diego State (28-1) vs. 16 Winthrop (21-10)...The Aztecs might have been at risk of dropping to the 2-line last week at Nevada, trailing by double-digits in the 2nd half at Reno before rallying. Though in truth another loss for Brian Dutcher’s troops in the Mountain West Tourney this weekend could knock them off of the top line...which might not be a bad thing if they could wind up in the West Regional, played 120 miles up I-5 from campus at Staples Center in L.A. (where SDSU whipped Utah in December) and far more convenient for the fan base than a trip to Madison Square Garden for the East Regional. (The Aztecs are almost surely in Sacramento for the sub-regionals.) Meanwhile in the Big South it looks like advantage Winthrop, which earned home court edge in the conference tourney when Radford was knocked off by Gardner Webb in the reg-season finale. The home edge could prove an edge for the Eagles over the Highlanders in the expected rubber-match in the tourney finale.
8 Saint Mary’s (24-7) vs. 9 Oklahoma (18-12)... Unlike recent years (such as 2019) when the Gaels needed to beat Gonzaga in the WCC Tourney to be assured of a spot in the Dance, Randy Bennett’s team looks safely in the field of 68 this March thanks to pre-league wins over Wisconsin, Utah State, and Arizona State (the latter by 40 points on a road-neutral floor in Phoenix). As for OU, the last-second Tuesday loss to Texas stings more than a little, but Lon Kruger’s team positioned itself clear of the cut-line with preceding wins over Texas Tech and West Virginia. To be safe, however, the Sooners are well-advised to avoid a 3-game losing streak into Selection Sunday (which would have to include a loss on Saturday at TCU and a first-round exit at next week’s Big 12 Tourney).
4 Auburn (24-6) vs. 13 Yale (22-6)...We’re really wondering about keeping the Tigers as a protected seed after they lost for the fourth time in six games at midweek when allowing second-tier SEC Texas A&M to score the upset on the Plains. Few games have come easy in league play for Bruce Pearl’s Tigers, now getting burned more often than not for flying so close to the flame. Lots of SEC insiders worry that Auburn is ripe for an early Dance exit (which almost happened last March vs. New Mexico State before Pearl’s team switched gears and made the Final Four). Until a mid-February loss at Penn, Yale was considered as maybe the Ivy’s best-ever chance for an at-large berth should the Eli need to go that route. Though dangerous, and having pushed LSU in the first round last year, the Eli can only be assured of a bid by winning next week’s Ivy Tourney at Harvard.
5 Ohio State (20-9) vs. 12 Stanford (20-9)/Cincinnati (19-10)...We could easily slot the Buckeyes onto the 4-line and would be likely to do so if a) OSU beats Michigan State this Sunday or b) wins the Big Ten Tourney next week in Indianapolis. As it is, however, the Buckeyes (who have won 8 of 10 after dropping dangerously close to the projected cut-line in mid-January) would be tickled at a 5-seed as long as they got a desired sub-regional assignment in nearby Cleveland. As for the bubble, it remains a very fluid place into this weekend, though for the moment we think Stanford has clawed its way back to the safe side of the cut-line with four straight wins. Avoiding a loss at Oregon State last Thursday should allow the Cardinal to continue their push. As for Cincy, avoiding both a loss to Temple this weekend and an early exit in next week’s American Tourney at Fort Worth should keep the Bearcats in the at-large mix. If the Committee has a devilish side (as it often does), pitting the Buckeyes and Bearcats in the first round would be bold...and delightful.
2 Dayton (28-2) vs. 15 Little Rock (21-10)...After dispatching Rhode Island without too much trouble last Wednesday, on the road, no less, one has to wonder if any A-10 rep is going to cause any undue sweat for Dayton in next week’s tourney at Brooklyn. The Flyers loom the most-likely team projected currently on the 2-line that could slide up to the 1-line with a losa by one of those projected top seeds (Baylor and San Diego State in particular). Little Rock has drawn clear of the Sun Belt pack but that tourney has delivered many upsets in recent years. Next week the Belt goes big-time with a move to the NBA Pelicans’ Smoothie King Center in downtown New Orleans for its tourney.
7 Butler (20-9) vs. 10 USC (21-9)...Butler fans are worried that the Bulldogs peaked way too early this season, as LaVall Jordan’s team has been playing sub-.500 ball since New Year’s and took until the past week and wins over St. John’s & DePaul before finally feeling completely secure of an at-large slot. If Butler’s defense doesn’t shown improvement from recent form, an entry such as Pac-12 USC could be a problem, especially as Andy Enfield can utilize a two-pronged attack of bigs 6-11 Nick Rakocevic and 6-9 frosh beast Onyeka Okongwu. The Trojans are also breathing a bit easier about their at-large place after the recent home sweep of Arizona and Arizona State, and no apparent chances for bad losses remaining between now and Selection Sunday.
3 Duke (24-6) vs. 14 Akron (23-7)...Duke usually gets a break from the Selection Committee, which likes to keep the Blue Devils in the East (Madison Square Garden also hosts the regionals this March) and often has a Tobacco Road venue waiting in the sub-regionals; this time, it’s the venerable Greensboro Coliseum, where Coach K and his boys could camp out for a few more days after next week’s ACC Tourney. Recent losses suggest that even if the Blue Devils win the ACC Tourney next week, they won’t ascend higher than the 2-line. Akron has emerged as the favorite in next week’s MAC Tournay in Cleveland, where upsets have happened in recent years. Bowling Green, Buffalo, Kent State, and Northern Illinois all think they have a chance at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, too.
6 Michigan (19-11) vs. 11 Wichita State (22-7)....After a surge following the return of key F Isaiah Livers, Michigan hiccuped again and lost a couple on the spin io Wisconsin and Ohio State, but those are not particularly damaging. Even so, the Wolverines are probably going to need to do a bit of work at the Big Ten Tourney at Indy next week to stay as high as the 6-line. As for Wichita State, its bubble existence flashed before its eyes last weekend when trailing SMU 50-36 before closing the game on a 40-12 run and keeping its at-large hopes alive. Avoiding an early exit in the American Tourney is still advised for Gregg Marshall’s Shockers to avoid some extra sweating on Selection Sunday.
SOUTH REGIONAL (Houston-Toyota Center)
1 Baylor (26-3) vs. 16 St. Francis-PA (21-9)/North Carolina A&T (16-14)...Baylor is starting to look a bit shaky on the 1-line, not as much because of the Feb. 22 loss vs. Kansas at Waco but a bad loss the following week at TCU. Unless the Bears win the Big 12 Tourney next week in Kansas City, there’s a good chance they could get bumped off of the top line by Dayton. Meanwhile the 16 vs. 16 play-in games in recent years have often featured Northeast and MEAC reps. For the former, memories of Norm Van Lier, Kevin Porter, and long-ago great Maurice Stokes have rekindled nostalgia about St. Francis-Pa, which gets home-court edge for the NEC Tourney. The home team of the Pittsburgh Airport, Robert Morris, and Sacred Heart look the top contenders. As for the MEAC, four sides (NC A&T, BC Central, Norfolk State, and Florida A&M) look the top picks for next week’s tourney at the Norfolk Scope, once one of the home courts for the ABA Virginia Squires during Julius Erving’s days and also providing a possible hometown edge for the Spartans of Norfolk State.
8 Arizona (19-10) vs. 9 Florida (19-11)...Unlike Joe Lunardi and some other Bracketologists, we actually punish power conference teams in the seeding when they continue to lose. Arizona’s three straight Ls into this weekend have docked the Cats a couple of lines in our projections, plus the fact they enter the weekend at a modest 19-10 and with only a very early win over Illinois as notable in non-league play. As for Florida, the Gators have been slow to come around, and into late January were being projected outside of the field by most, but the last month has been pretty good for Michael White’s bunch, which can get to 20 wins (and perhaps threaten a move higher up the seeding ladder) by beating Kentucky this Saturday.
At St. Louis....
4 Creighton (23-7) vs. 13 Wright State (25-6)...The puzzling recent 20-point loss at St.. John’s (in retrospect one of the shockers of the season) has temporarily halted Creighton’s surge up the seeding ladder, though we still have the Bluejays in protected seed territory. Note Greg McDermott’s team cannot play in the Omaha sub-regional being contested at the Bluejays’ CHI Health Center Arena. In the Horizon, Wright State will be the heavy favorite when action commences this weekend in the tourney at the Indiana Farmers Coliseum, home of IUPUI and, continuing the old-ABA them of the Norfolk Scope in the MEAC, the original home of the ABA Indiana Pacers on the fairgrounds.
5 Iowa (20-10) vs. 12 Vermont (24-7)...We think Iowa has done enough to stay on the 5-line, though most all of the big Hawkeye wins this season have come in Iowa City. On the road, not so much, but the masses will at least get a chance to watch what all the fuss has been about in the Big Ten regarding Hawkeye C Luka Garza. Vermont is a veteran team that qualified for the Dance a year ago and does not figure an easy out. First, the Catamounts have to avoid an upset in the America East Tourney, which has gotten underway and likely features Stony Brook and Hartford as top contenders.
2 Kentucky (24-6) vs. 15 Colgate (23-8)...A recent 8-game win streak had us thinking there could be a chance that Coach Cal could yet steer UK to the top line if some other results fell a certain way in tourney week, but the midweek shock loss to Tennessee (at Rupp Arena, no less) has us wondering if the Cats can even stay on the 2-line. A loss at Florida on Saturday might provide a more definitive answer. Colgate has led wire-to-wire in the Patriot and looks to repeat as the loop’s Big Dance rep after putting up a pretty good fight vs. Tennessee in the sub-regionals last March. The Raiders’ win at Cincy (controversial as it might have been) in late December will keep any power conference foes on the alert.
7 Providence (18-12) vs. 10 Texas Tech (18-12)...Texas Tech is not exactly playing its way into the field of 68, and one has to wonder if the Red Raiders lose vs. Kansas on Saturday and geta quick KO in the Big 12 Tourney if they might have to sweat on Selection Sunday. Let’s just say that December win over Louisville at MSG might end up saving the bid for the Red Raiders, who have seen star frosh G Jahm’ius Ramsey really cool down in recent weeks. Hitting the Dance with a bit more momentum appears to be Providence, which has stormed thru the Big East regular-season tape with five wins on the spin into Saturday vs. DePaul. We suspect Ed Cooley’s Friars have moved clear of the cut-line, with UMass grad transfer PG Luwane Pipkins suddenly taking over games like he’s still in the A-10.
3 Maryland (23-7) vs. 14 Hofstra (23-8)...We had Maryland solidly on the 2-line until the past two weeks, but losses in three of four (albeit to Dance-bound Ohio State, Michigan State, and Rutgers) have dropped the Terps to the 3. Lots of close wins for Maryland, which is regarded by many as being at upset risk in the first round. Hofstra looks like it would be the most-dangerous rep to emerge from the Colonial Tourney thanks to the Pride’s explosive guard combo, Desure Buie and Eli Pemberton, carrying on the tradition of Joe Mihalich-coached backcourts. William & Mary, Delaware, Towson, Charleston, and Northeastern all think they have a shot at the CAA Tourney in D.C., too.
6 Virginia (22-7) vs. 11 East Tennessee State (27-4)...What, we ask of Joe Lunardi and other bracketologists, must Virginia do to get seeded above the 9-line (where Lunardi had the Cavs this week) after winning 10 of 11 games, while the likes of Arizona, Colorado, Marquette, and West Virginia continue to get seeded above Tony Bennett’s team, even as they lose game after game? Aren’t the ‘Hoos defending national champs? Too much Big Ten Kool-Aid being consumed by Lunardi and others, we suppose. But we’re not sure a spot on the 6-line (where we believe UVa belongs) is a reward if mighty dangerous ETSU out of the SoCon awaits. The Bucs’ profile is so good that Steve Forbes might have an at-large case for his team should Furman or NC-Greensboro or someone else pull the upset in the just-commencing tourney at Asheville.
MIDWEST REGIONAL (Indianapolis-Lucas Oil Stadium)
At St. Louis...
1 Kansas (26-3) vs. 16 Siena (17-10)/Prairie View (18-11)...Good chance that KU enters the Dance as the number one overall seed, a sure thing if the Jayhawks wins next week’s Big 12 Tourney in Kansas City. Regardless, a sub-regional date awaits Bill Self’s troops in St. Louis, where Jayhawks backers have descended en masse in the past for regionals at the Edward Jones Dome, often bringing 25,000+ fans; where can they all fit at the smaller, NHL Blues' Enterprise Center? There has been little form in this season’s Metro-Atlantic, which moves its tourney from Albany to Atlantic City and Boardwalk Hall, where Bert Parks used to serenade the masses for the Miss America Pageant. The MAAC conducts its event a week alter than usual this March, too, and any number of teams seem to have a chance. Siena likely enters as the top seed. Meanwhile, Prairie View’s 18-11 mark out of the SWAC is quite an accomplishment, as loop reps are often used as cannon fodder by power conference foes during pre-league play. SWAC Tourney action commences next week at Gene Bartow Arena in Birmingham.
8 LSU (20-10) vs. 9 Xavier (19-11)... Both of these sides went down at midweek, though respective losses at Arkansas (LSU) and surging Providence (X) should not be too damaging by themselves. For the Musketeers, a win on Saturday vs. Butler sends them straight into the quarterfinals of next week’s Big East Tourney and likely removes the chance of a possible bad loss vs. a St. John’s or DePaul. The Musketeers could still play themselves into bubble trouble, but we believe that to be unlikely. As for LSU, it is backing into the Dance thanks to its non-defense the past month, projected as high as 4-line at one point in January but after losing 6 of 9 now in danger of wearing the road purples (or maybe it will be gold?) in the first round.
4 Michigan State (21-9) vs. 13 Stephen F Austin (27-3)... Behold the Spartans, who took a while to kick into gear but now appear to be flying into the Dance on the wings of a 4-game win streak and a sigh of relief from Spartan fans who were wondering if there was even going to be a “Tom Izzo Time” this season. It looks like it’s here, folks. But we’re not sure any power conference foe will be thrilled to run into SFA, which counts Duke (at Cameron Indoor, no less) among its non-league victims and could make an intriguing at-large case for the Committee if some other Southland rep (Nicholls? Lamar? Last year’s winner Abilene Christian?) pull the upset at the conference tourney in the Houston suburb of Katy next week.
5 BYU (24-7) vs. 12 Liberty (28-4)...The parochial wing of the Dance would have its matchup deluxe if these two should get together. Which would intrigue as many in the mid-Atlantic see the Falwell’s Liberty as modeling its sports programs after faith-based flagship BYU. Whatever, both teams can play, and it is no surprise that a lot of insiders fear the Cougars, with their nation’s best 3-point shooting and a different twist on offense since versatile PF Yoeli Childs returned from early-season suspension in December. Keep in mind that BYU has to play on a Thursday-Saturday rotation because of LDS rules. As for Liberty, it’s mostly the same team for HC Ritchie McKay that beat Mississippi State in the first round last year, and still owns one of the nation’s top scoring defenses. Though the Flames’ at-large case (in case needed if upset at the A-Sun Tourney) took a jolt with last week’s loss to Lipscomb.
2 Seton Hall (21-8) vs. 15 North Dakota State (24-7)...The Hall’s surge to the top of the Big East might have been temporarily slowed by the midweek home loss to Villanova, putting the regular-season crown and top seed for next week’s tourney at MSG up for grabs. As such, the Pirates’ spot on the 2-line looks very tenuous, and it’s going to take some work by Myles Powell and friends in the next week to keep the Hall at this perch. Now, for the topic of hoop fan bucket lists, we have been told by many that the atmosphere is so intense at the Summit Tourney each March in Sioux Falls that it should be a must for any hardwood aficionado. Though, as usual, it’s probably either North Dakota State or South Dakota State that emerges from that annual free-for-all.
7 Illinois (20-9) vs. 10 UCLA (19-11)...Who would have thought this a possible matchup earlier in the season? Not as much the Illinois side (unless the only game you saw the Illini play was against Missouri in December), but UCLA’s dramatic surge the past six weeks in the Pac-12 should have first-year HC Mick Cronin on consideration for Coach of the Year honors. The Bruins do no worse than tie for the Pac-12 regular-season title if they can knock off crosstown USC on Saturday, which we suspect punches UCLA’s ticket to the Dance no matter what happens at next week’s Pac-12 Tourney in Vegas.
3 Louisville (24-6) vs. 14 Belmont (24-7)...There was a time in early February that many believed the ‘Ville was going to wind up on the top line. That won’t happen after recent road losses at Georgia Tech and Clemson, though we suspect the only thing that really worries the Cards right now is the sight of Florida State, which swept the season series. Meanwhile they have already gotten the OVC Tourney underway in Evansville and the top seed is Belmont, a nice feather in the cap of new HC Casey Alexander, who moved down the street from Lipscomb (which made it all of the way to the NIT finals last March) and has very nicely filled the big shoes of retired predecessor Ricky Byrd, who coached one of his best Bruins teams last year to a play-in win over Temple and near-miss vs. Maryland. Murray State, still competitive post-Ja Morant, rates the co-favorite in Evansville.
6 Penn State (21-9) vs. 11 Northern Iowa (25-5)...Consider it just a sign of the times in the rugged Big Ten for a team like Penn State to fall back to Earth, losing four of its last five into this weekend at Northwestern after looking like a protected seed into mid-February. Seeded five or better and it will be the best- for the Nittany Lions since the tourney began to seed and expanded to 64 teams in 1985. The fate of UNI is likely to be decided in this weekend’s Arch Madness at St. Louis for the annual Missouri Valley fun. The Panthers could have a legit at-large case if needed, though in the post-Creighton/Wichita era, the Valley is rarely a multi-bid league these days. Loyola-Chicago and last year’s surprise winner Bradley figure to offer the stiffest competition at the Arch.
WEST REGIONAL (Los Angeles-Staples Center)
1 Gonzaga (27-2) vs. 16 Eastern Washington (21-8)...Well this would be a neat-and-tidy neighborhood battle in the first round. Could happen, too, though the question more regards EWU, one of the three co-favorites (along with Northern Colorado and Montana) to win next week’s Big Sky fun in Boise. As for the Zags, we suspect they’ll stay on the top line even if they lose in the WCC Tourney during the next week at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas. Unlike Creighton, Gonzaga could play a sub-regional in its hometown as the Spokane Arena, though only about a mile from campus, is not the Zags’ home court (that would be the smaller, but very comfy, McCarthey Center).
8 West Virginia (20-10) vs. 9 Marquette (18-11)...T-i-m-b-e-r! Perhaps we should get out of the way out of both of these falling squads, though West Virginia temporarily stopped its slide on Tuesday when surviving at Iowa State (the Mounties had lost 6 of 7 prior). Meanwhile, Marquette has lost five of six, including a bad loss at DePaul on Thursday, into this weekend at St. John’s. Joe Lunardi has not been punishing either of these sides in his brackets but we suspect that both are more likely to find themselves in the dreaded 8-9 group.
4 Villanova (23-7) vs. 13 New Mexico State (24-6)... Villanova can make a case for a spot on the 3-line after the rousing win on Wednesday in Newark vs. Seton Hall, though Jay Wright’s team has been scrambling since a 3-game losing streak in early February and did lose to visiting Providence last weekend. Win the Big East Tourney next week at MSG, however, and the 3-line is probably a worst-case scenario for the Cats. We’re not sure if NMSU is as good as it was last season when the Ags pushed Auburn to the last second in the first round, as non-league results included getting swept by New Mexico before New Year’s. But into this weekend, NMSU was cruising unbeaten in the WAC and will once again be a heavy favorite for next week’s conference tourney at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.
5 Wisconsin (19-10) vs. 12 Texas (19-11)/Richmond (23-7)...No surprise seeing Wiscy as high as the 5-line after recent efforts that include a win over Michigan and an offense looking more like the Dallas Mavericks than the typical, slow-paced Badger looks of the Greg Gard/Bo Ryan/Dick Bennett eras. But our news here is on the at-large play-in side at Dayton, where a dramatic late surge by Shaka Smart’s Texas has put the Longhorns in position to fall on the right side of the cut-line if they can beat Oklahoma State on Saturday and advance at least a round in next week’s Big 12 Tourney. All after Shaka looked on his way out the door after an 81-52 loss at Iowa State on Feb. 15. Meanwhile, with Rhode Island dropping off the map in past two weeks, Richmond has become the most-likely second rep from the A-10, though making the field likely requires a deep advance in next week’s conference tourney in Brooklyn. If Richmond makes it, an early-season win over Wisconsin would be key, and maybe a first-round rematch would await.
2 Florida State (25-5) vs. 15 UC Irvine (21-11)...After an impressive body of work all of the way back to November, we don’t think the recent loss at Clemson is going to move FSU off of the 2-line, especially as the Noles still have pole position for top seed in next week’s ACC Tourney. Plus a couple of wins against Louisville, currently tied for first in the loop. The exciting Wednesday win at Notre Dame likely sets up FSU as top seed for next week at Greensboro unless BC pulls shocker this weekend. Kudos to Leonard Hamilton, as FSU is now a basketball school! After a midweek home loss to CS Northridge, we’re hardly sure about UCI in the Big West, though the Anteaters are still likely to be top seed for the tourney in Anaheim next week. But how close is UCI (and the Big West) to the 16-line, and perhaps even play-in punishment at Dayton?
7 Colorado (21-9) vs. 10 Indiana (19-11)...Though we’re not in the tank for the Big Ten like some other Bracketologists, we do admit the loop will be the most-represented in the Dance, and expect Indiana to be there, especially after the midweek home escape vs. Minnesota (which ought to finally remove the 13-16 Gophers from the Bubble Watch or consideration from Joe Lunardi). Speaking of Lunardi, he had kept Colorado on his 5-line until late this week. That’s putting a lot of weight on the Dec. 21 win over Dayton, because other than a sweep of USC, there aren’t any other higher-profile wins for the Buffs. With losses in three straight and four of six into this weekend vs. Utah, we have dropped the Buffs accordingly in our projections.
3 Oregon (22-7) vs. 14 North Texas (20-11)... We are assuming North Texas was still celebrating the C-USA regular-season title when it went flat as a pancake in the ugly 56-43 midweek loss at Charlotte, a result hardly befitting a Big Dance rep. In the Mean Green’s favor might be the venue for next week’s tourney at the Dallas Cowboys’ ultra-cool Star complex in Frisco, a short ride from Ddnton in the northern part of the Metroplex. For the sake of HC Grant McCasland, lets hope the Charlotte loss was a one-off for UNT, but Western Kentucky and La Tech should have equal chances in Frisco. As for Dana Altman’s latest special edition at Oregon, the Ducks can earn top seed in the Pac-12 Tourney next week at T-Mobile Arena in Vegas if they can beat both Stanford and Cal this weekend at Eugene, and figure to land on the 3-4 lines come Selection Sunday.
6 Houston (22-7) vs. 11 Rutgers (19-11)...It is worth noting that Rutgers hasn’t won a game outside of Piscataway or Lincoln, Nebraska, this season, and that the Scarlet Knights won’’t play another game at either venue. But after a rousing win over Big Ten leader Maryland on Tuesday night, they’ve probably done enough to make the Dance for the first time since Bob Wenzel’s 1991 team turned the trick. Kelvin Sampson has taken Houston to the second round, and then Sweet Sixteen, the past two seasons, so the Cougs are used to March and figure anywhere from the 5 to 7-line, depending upon what they do at the American Tourney in Fort Worth next week.
Last four byes: Texas Tech, Indiana, Wichita State, Rutgers.
Last four in: Stanford, Cincinnati, Richmond, Texas.
First four out: Utah State, NC State, Arizona State, Purdue.
Next four out: Mississippi State, Memphis, South Carolina, Arkansas
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